Induced seismicity forecasting R&I project

Altcom have been developing a forecasting system aimed at helping mitigate the hazard associated with induced seismicity caused by fluid injection/extraction operations, such as geothermal.

This research and Innovation project has been partly funded by the ERDF Deep Digital Cornwall Project.

Deep Digital Cornwall (DDC) was launched in early 2021 and gives SMEs based in Cornwall and Isles of Scilly access to research skills, knowledge, innovation expertise, new datasets and access to state-of-the-art immersive technology facilities for 3D and 4D data visualisation.

DDC is led by the University of Exeter with delivery partners Cornish Lithium, Cornwall Resources and the South West Centre of Excellence in Satellite Applications.

The Altcom forecasting system is based on an “Ensemble Learning” approach where a set of seismicity models are continuously used to make foward predictions about seismicity trends. These predictions are then tested against observed seismicity and used to update and adjust the model weighting in order to make further improved predictions.

Altcom have been implementing the forecasting system within the data acquisition module of its microseisgram software.

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